We have seen the models come into consensus on the track of the storm, but we also have seen the the storm lacking cold air for snow on the operational models. I do like the track but I think the models are missing the snow event in the Appalachians and Northeast. Only the ECMWF model is showing any major snow across the Northeast. Given the blocking and positive PNA I still think the storm is on the coast with interior snows.
It seems to the models have issues 5 days out after that the models change and come into a consensus on snow.
Below are the models and my map.